L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Najma v Al-Taawoun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Najma (Local)
Prévision 17.38%5.75cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.603%
Kelly -0.735%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%17.46%17.33%18.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.115.105.5620.83%19.58%19.61%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Taawoun (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.83%1.64cote équitable
EV +0.984%
Avantage +0.593%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.46%60.74%60.79%61.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.6669.44%66.08%66.67%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.439%
Kelly -0.564%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.78%21.80%21.88%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.064.004.5027.78%24.64%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.70%EV -9.78%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.46%EV +0.984%E +0.593%K +1.49%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV -3.35%E -0.603%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.22%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -4.81%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.74%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.97%E -0.439%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 16:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -11.35%E -2.23%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -11.35%E -2.23%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.40%E -0.799%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.40%E -0.799%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.40%E -0.799%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -9.97%E -6.73%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -9.97%E -6.73%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.51%EV -9.97%E -6.73%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -8.74%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.81%EV -10.57%E -7.19%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 16:07 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.87%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.56%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -17.22%E -4.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -21.58%E -5.99%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 1.4% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.29% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |