L’École des cotes

Al-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prévision 15.98%6.26cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -0.439%
Kelly -0.526%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.01%16.10%15.86%17.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.595.506.0920.00%17.88%18.18%16.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.72%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -5.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.48%64.52%64.93%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.411.5073.53%70.96%70.92%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.30%5.18cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -0.703%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%19.38%19.21%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.684.805.0026.67%21.36%20.83%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet6.09I 16.42%NM 15.93%EV -2.68%E -0.439%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.67%EV -2.92%E -1.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -3.52%E -0.703%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Pinnacle6.08I 16.45%NM 15.53%EV -2.84%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.12%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.35%EV -5.83%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:54
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -4.11%E -0.686%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 18:54
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -4.11%E -0.686%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 18:55
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -7.31%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 18:54
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.34%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 18:54
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:55
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:54
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -5.45%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -11.24%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 18:54
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.34%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 18:55
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.34%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 18:55
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -15.30%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -10.04%E -7.22%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:55
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -20.10%E -4.02%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.16%E -2.93%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -20.10%E -4.02%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -27.64%E -7.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%1.9%2026-03-07 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.86%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.28%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%1.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.86%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.28%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%1.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.0%2026-03-07 18:54
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.74%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.18%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%2.8%2026-03-07 18:55