La escuela de los momiosAl-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Kholood (Local)
Predicción 15.98%6.26momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -0.439%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.01%16.10%15.86%17.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.595.506.0920.00%17.88%18.18%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 64.72%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -5.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.48%64.52%64.93%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.411.5073.53%70.96%70.92%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.30%5.18momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -0.703%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.64%19.38%19.21%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.684.805.0026.67%21.36%20.83%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.93%EV -2.68%E -0.439%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.67%EV -2.92%E -1.94%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -3.52%E -0.703%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.53%EV -2.84%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.12%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.35%EV -5.83%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -4.11%E -0.686%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -4.11%E -0.686%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| William Hill | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -7.31%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.34%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -8.11%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.45%E -3.80%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Unibet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Grosvenor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -5.45%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -11.24%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.34%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.10%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.34%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -15.30%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -10.04%E -7.22%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -7.38%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -20.10%E -4.02%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.16%E -2.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -20.10%E -4.02%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -27.64%E -7.37%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.86% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.28% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.86% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.28% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Smarkets | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.74% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.18% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |