Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 2.45
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Kholood (Local): 32.54%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 40.61%; Draw: 26.84%. For Al-Khaleej (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.498%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.37%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -0.680%E -0.184%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.37%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -0.680%E -0.184%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.90%EV -4.00%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -0.498%E -0.203%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -5.24%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.97%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.97%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.75%EV -9.53%E -3.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.84%E -4.43%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.10%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -14.71%E -7.01%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.47%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -13.76%E -5.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.66%EV -14.71%E -7.01%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.11%EV -15.44%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.74%E -5.62%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-03 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.77%EV -15.39%E -5.92%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.19%EV -13.90%E -6.56%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.05%EV -15.44%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.38% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.52% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.43% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 16:01 |