L’École des cotes

Al-Kholood v Al-Khaleej

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 16:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prévision 32.54%3.07cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.790%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.00%32.58%32.52%33.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.84%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Khaleej (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.61%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.498%
Avantage -0.203%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.61%40.62%40.53%42.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.4547.62%44.69%44.44%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.84%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.680%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.54%26.81%26.95%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.353.7033.33%29.72%29.85%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.37%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -0.680%E -0.184%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 16:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.37%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -0.680%E -0.184%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 16:00
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.90%EV -4.00%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -0.498%E -0.203%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -5.24%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 15:59
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.97%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.97%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 16:00
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 16:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 16:01
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 16:01
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 16:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.40%E -3.25%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 16:00
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 16:00
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 16:01
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 15:59
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.75%EV -9.53%E -3.43%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.84%E -4.43%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 15:59
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 16:01
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.10%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 16:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 15:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 16:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -14.71%E -7.01%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.47%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-03 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-03 16:00
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-03 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -13.76%E -5.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.66%EV -14.71%E -7.01%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.11%EV -15.44%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-03 16:01
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.74%E -5.62%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-03 15:59
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.77%EV -15.39%E -5.92%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.19%EV -13.90%E -6.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.05%EV -15.44%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-03 16:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-03 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-03 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-03 16:01
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.38%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%4.3%2026-04-03 16:00
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 31.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.43%10.9%2026-04-03 16:01