La scuola delle quote

Al-Kholood v Al-Fateh

Inizio: 2026-05-21 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Kholood 0–0 Al-Fateh

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Kholood (Casa)

Previsione 41.43%2.41quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.11%41.35%41.51%42.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.44%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Fateh (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.23%3.10quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.78%32.26%32.14%35.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.752.9740.00%36.83%36.36%33.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.34%3.80quota equa
EV +2.18%
Vantaggio +0.563%
Kelly +0.758%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%26.38%26.35%28.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.473.503.8833.33%28.80%28.57%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.00%EV +2.18%E +0.563%K +0.758%G +0.017%3.1%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 17:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 17:20
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.07%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -4.27%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 17:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.18%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.18%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12%EV -8.78%E -3.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 17:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 17:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:19
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -17.81%E -6.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -17.81%E -6.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:40
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -19.42%E -7.77%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 17:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 17:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-21 17:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.23%E -5.79%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-21 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-21 17:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-05-21 17:20