L’École des cotes

Al-Kholood v Al-Fateh

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 18:00 UTC

Score final : Al-Kholood 0–0 Al-Fateh

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prévision 41.43%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.11%41.35%41.51%42.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.44%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Fateh (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.23%3.10cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.78%32.26%32.14%35.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.752.9740.00%36.83%36.36%33.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.758%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.38%26.35%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.503.8833.33%28.80%28.57%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.00%EV +2.18%E +0.563%K +0.758%G +0.017%3.1%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 17:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 17:20
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.07%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -4.27%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 17:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.18%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.18%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12%EV -8.78%E -3.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 17:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 17:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:19
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -17.81%E -6.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -17.81%E -6.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:40
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -19.42%E -7.77%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 17:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 17:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-21 17:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.23%E -5.79%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-21 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-21 17:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-05-21 17:20