La scuola delle quote

Al-Ittihad v Neom

Inizio: 2026-04-08 18:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ittihad (Casa)

Previsione 54.61%1.83quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.34%54.51%54.77%56.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.681.691.7762.50%59.61%59.35%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Neom (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.51%4.65quota equa
EV +2.80%
Vantaggio +0.585%
Kelly +0.740%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.30%21.53%21.32%22.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.224.204.7826.32%23.71%23.81%20.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.89%4.19quota equa
EV -4.45%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.95%23.96%23.91%25.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.743.774.0030.30%26.76%26.49%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.30%EV +2.80%E +0.585%K +0.740%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 18:01
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 54.88%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.15%EV -3.44%E -0.766%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.98%EV -5.41%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 18:01
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.82%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 17:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 18:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 18:01
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 18:00
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.90%E -6.00%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 54.51%EV -10.99%E -6.74%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 18:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 54.51%EV -10.99%E -6.74%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -10.75%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-08 18:00
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.35%EV -12.08%E -7.50%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-08 18:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 18:01
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 18:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 18:01
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -21.17%E -6.42%K -9.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-08 18:01
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.07%EV -12.63%E -7.89%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -15.05%E -3.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-08 18:01
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -18.28%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-08 18:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-04-08 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-08 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%4.2%2026-04-08 18:01
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%5.2%2026-04-08 18:01
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 49.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 20.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 29.44%29.2%2026-04-08 18:01