L’École des cotes

Al-Ittihad v Neom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 18:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Ittihad (Local)

Prévision 54.61%1.83cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.34%54.51%54.77%56.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.691.7762.50%59.61%59.35%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Neom (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.51%4.65cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +0.585%
Kelly +0.740%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.30%21.53%21.32%22.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.224.204.7826.32%23.71%23.81%20.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%23.96%23.91%25.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.743.774.0030.30%26.76%26.49%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.30%EV +2.80%E +0.585%K +0.740%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 18:01
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 54.88%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.15%EV -3.44%E -0.766%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.98%EV -5.41%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 18:01
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 18:01
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.82%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 17:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 18:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 18:01
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 18:00
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.90%E -6.00%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 54.51%EV -10.99%E -6.74%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 18:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 54.51%EV -10.99%E -6.74%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -10.75%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-08 18:00
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.35%EV -12.08%E -7.50%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-08 18:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 18:01
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 18:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 18:01
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.40%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -21.17%E -6.42%K -9.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-08 18:01
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.07%EV -12.63%E -7.89%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -15.05%E -3.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-08 18:01
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -18.28%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-08 18:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-04-08 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-08 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%4.2%2026-04-08 18:01
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%5.2%2026-04-08 18:01
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 49.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 20.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 29.44%29.2%2026-04-08 18:01