L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ittihad v Al-Qadsiah
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prévision 29.01%3.45cote équitable
EV +0.386%
Avantage +0.112%
Kelly +0.157%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.96%29.01%33.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.4637.04%33.41%33.33%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.33%2.16cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.878%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.87%46.33%46.27%47.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.032.042.2054.64%49.18%49.02%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.65%4.06cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.86%24.71%24.72%26.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.653.9331.25%27.66%27.40%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV +1.93%E +0.878%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV +1.93%E +0.878%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV +1.93%E +0.878%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -20.21%E -7.35%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV +0.543%E +0.250%K +0.464%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -6.87%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -0.384%E -0.179%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.68%EV -3.11%E -0.792%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -0.384%E -0.179%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -0.384%E -0.179%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -21.66%E -8.02%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.89%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.80%EV -3.63%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.14%EV -17.31%E -6.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.50%EV -5.48%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.14%EV -17.31%E -6.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.50%EV -5.48%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.33%E -3.67%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.67%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.386%E +0.112%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%EV -7.80%E -3.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.80%EV -5.58%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -9.19%E -4.69%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -16.44%E -5.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -11.50%E -6.02%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -21.11%E -6.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -13.36%E -7.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.21%E -8.31%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |