La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Ittihad v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.386%
Ventaja +0.112%
Kelly +0.157%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.96%29.01%33.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.993.003.4637.04%33.41%33.33%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 46.33%2.16momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.878%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%46.33%46.27%47.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.032.042.2054.64%49.18%49.02%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.65%4.06momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.86%24.71%24.72%26.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.653.9331.25%27.66%27.40%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV +1.93%E +0.878%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV +1.93%E +0.878%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV +1.93%E +0.878%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -20.21%E -7.35%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV +0.543%E +0.250%K +0.464%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -6.87%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -0.384%E -0.179%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.68%EV -3.11%E -0.792%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -0.384%E -0.179%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -0.384%E -0.179%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -21.66%E -8.02%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.89%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.80%EV -3.63%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.14%EV -17.31%E -6.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.50%EV -5.48%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.14%EV -17.31%E -6.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.50%EV -5.48%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.33%E -3.67%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.67%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.386%E +0.112%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%EV -7.80%E -3.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.80%EV -5.58%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -14.41%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -9.19%E -4.69%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.65%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -16.44%E -5.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -11.50%E -6.02%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -21.11%E -6.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -13.36%E -7.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.21%E -8.31%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |