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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Ittihad v Al-Fayha

开赛时间： 2026-09-08 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Ittihad 2–1 Al-Fayha

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ittihad (主队)

预测 62.50%1.60公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -3.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.14%62.50%62.31%64.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.431.401.5775.19%69.96%71.43%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Fayha (客队)

预测 17.13%5.84公平赔率
EV +2.75%
优势 +0.459%
Kelly +0.550%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.31%17.14%17.22%19.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.465.506.0022.22%18.32%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.38%4.91公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -0.764%
Kelly -0.969%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.73

博彩公司预测分布
19.52%20.36%20.47%20.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.474.504.7323.81%22.36%22.22%21.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Ittihad (主队)：62.50%；Al-Fayha (客队)：17.13%；平局：20.38%。 对于“Al-Fayha (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.84。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+2.75%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +2.75%E +0.459%K +0.550%G +0.015%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -11.25%E -7.93%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.75%E +0.459%K +0.550%G +0.015%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 17:49
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.89%EV -8.75%E -6.00%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.92%EV +0.354%E +0.060%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.19%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.10%E -0.732%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.10%E -0.732%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.10%E -0.732%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:54
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 17:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 17:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.58%EV -16.88%E -12.69%K -51.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -7.52%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.52%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-08 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.01%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.93%EV -9.41%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.06%EV -3.61%E -0.764%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.10%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -10.09%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.51%EV -9.32%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -11.88%E -8.43%K -28.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -12.66%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-08 17:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -14.37%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -14.37%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.56%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -19.51%E -4.15%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -22.94%E -5.10%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-08 17:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.03%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-09-08 17:55
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86%0.8%2026-09-08 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-09-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-09-08 17:55
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-09-08 17:55