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Al-Ittihad v Al-Fayha
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Predicción 62.50%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.14%62.50%62.31%64.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.401.5775.19%69.96%71.43%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Al-Fayha (Visitante)
Predicción 17.13%5.84momio equitativo
EV +2.75%
Ventaja +0.459%
Kelly +0.550%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.31%17.14%17.22%19.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.465.506.0022.22%18.32%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.38%4.91momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -0.969%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.52%20.36%20.47%20.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.474.504.7323.81%22.36%22.22%21.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Al-Ittihad (Local): 62.50%; Al-Fayha (Visitante): 17.13%; Empate: 20.38%. Para Al-Fayha (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.84. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.75%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +2.75%E +0.459%K +0.550%G +0.015% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -11.25%E -7.93%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.75%E +0.459%K +0.550%G +0.015% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.89%EV -8.75%E -6.00%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 15.92%EV +0.354%E +0.060%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.19%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -1.53%E -0.266%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.10%E -0.732%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.10%E -0.732%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.10%E -0.732%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.58%EV -16.88%E -12.69%K -51.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -7.52%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.52%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.01%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.93%EV -9.41%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.06%EV -3.61%E -0.764%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.10%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -10.09%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.51%EV -9.32%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -11.88%E -8.43%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -12.66%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -14.37%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -14.37%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.56%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -19.51%E -4.15%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -22.94%E -5.10%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.03% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.18% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.18% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |