语言:简体中文
Al-Hilal v Damac
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Al-Hilal (主队)
预测 81.66%1.22公平赔率
EV -7.73%
优势 -6.84%
Kelly -59.45%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.13
博彩公司预测分布
79.20%81.96%81.66%83.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.03%90.09%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Damac (客队)
预测 7.26%13.77公平赔率
EV +8.93%
优势 +0.596%
Kelly +0.638%
增长率 +0.057%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.96%7.05%7.26%9.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5013.4914.0015.0010.53%7.41%7.14%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 11.08%9.02公平赔率
EV +10.81%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.20%
增长率 +0.130%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.30%10.99%11.08%13.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.757.847.5010.0014.81%12.75%13.33%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Hilal (主队)：81.66%；Damac (客队)：7.26%；平局：11.08%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.02。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.00，对应+10.81%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.81%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.89%EV -1.96%E -0.145%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +10.81%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.130% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.31%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 13.13I 7.62%NM 7.11%EV -4.65%E -0.354%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.58%EV +7.93%E +0.814%K +0.908%G +0.072% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +1.67%E +0.119%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -0.267%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +1.67%E +0.119%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -0.267%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -5.59%E -0.430%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.35%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.50%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.43%EV -23.75%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.07%EV -11.35%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.12%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.44%EV -13.57%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.06%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -14.12%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 79.20%EV -11.81%E -10.94%K -147.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.00%EV -31.01%E -3.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.80%EV -19.66%E -2.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 79.40%EV -10.99%E -10.09%K -122.16%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.24%EV -23.75%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -10.99%E -10.09%K -122.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +1.67%E +0.119%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -25.20%E -3.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 78.48% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.55% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 12.96% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |