L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Hilal v Damac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hilal (Local)
Prévision 81.66%1.22cote équitable
EV -7.73%
Avantage -6.84%
Kelly -59.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.20%81.96%81.66%83.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.03%90.09%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damac (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.26%13.77cote équitable
EV +8.93%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.638%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 15.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.96%7.05%7.26%9.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5013.4914.0015.0010.53%7.41%7.14%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 11.08%9.02cote équitable
EV +10.81%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.130%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.30%10.99%11.08%13.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.757.847.5010.0014.81%12.75%13.33%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.81%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.89%EV -1.96%E -0.145%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +10.81%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.130% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.31%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 13.13I 7.62%NM 7.11%EV -4.65%E -0.354%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.58%EV +7.93%E +0.814%K +0.908%G +0.072% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +1.67%E +0.119%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -0.267%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +1.67%E +0.119%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -0.267%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.36%E -8.43%K -85.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -5.81%E -0.683%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -5.59%E -0.430%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.35%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.50%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.43%EV -23.75%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.07%EV -11.35%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.12%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.44%EV -13.57%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.06%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -12.85%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -14.12%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -16.89%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 79.20%EV -11.81%E -10.94%K -147.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.00%EV -31.01%E -3.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.80%EV -19.66%E -2.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.54%E -7.63%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.18%E -9.25%K -101.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +8.93%E +0.596%K +0.638%G +0.057% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 79.40%EV -10.99%E -10.09%K -122.16%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.24%EV -23.75%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%EV -22.43%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -10.99%E -10.09%K -122.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +1.67%E +0.119%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -25.20%E -3.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 78.48% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.55% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 12.96% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |