La scuola delle quote

Al-Hilal v Al-Najma

Inizio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Hilal (Casa)

Previsione 86.17%1.16quota equa
EV -4.35%
Vantaggio -3.92%
Kelly -39.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.62%86.38%86.04%89.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.061.051.1198.04%94.62%95.24%90.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Najma (Trasferta)

Previsione 5.31%18.84quota equa
EV +32.73%
Vantaggio +1.31%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.446%

ipotizzando la quota massima 25.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.65%5.33%5.15%6.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
14.0019.9018.6025.007.14%5.03%5.38%4.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 8.52%11.73quota equa
EV +39.79%
Vantaggio +2.43%
Kelly +2.58%
Crescita +1.03%

ipotizzando la quota massima 16.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.91%8.30%8.81%9.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.1511.1911.0016.4010.93%8.94%9.09%6.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.88%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.53%G +0.000%18.60I 5.38%NM 5.21%EV -1.25%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.91%EV +39.79%E +2.43%K +2.58%G +1.03%3.2%2026-03-06 18:55
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 89.20%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%21.79I 4.59%NM 4.34%EV +15.69%E +0.720%K +0.755%G +0.118%14.64I 6.83%NM 6.46%EV +24.78%E +1.69%K +1.82%G +0.450%5.8%2026-03-06 18:50
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%4.3%2026-03-06 18:05
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +11.49%E +0.547%K +0.575%G +0.066%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%8.3%2026-03-06 18:40
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +11.49%E +0.547%K +0.575%G +0.066%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%8.3%2026-03-06 18:40
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%9.3%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%9.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005%9.3%2026-03-06 18:56
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:05
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:16
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:15
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.56%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -4.43%E -0.246%K -0.261%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 85.69%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.00%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -4.43%E -0.246%K -0.261%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.50%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.67%EV -10.39%E -9.99%K -259.65%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.50%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 18:15
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 87.67%EV -10.39%E -9.99%K -259.65%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.50%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 4.90%EV -1.78%E -0.096%K -0.102%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.84%EV -12.63%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 18:50
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 85.71%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.29%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 18:06
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.62%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -25.67%E -1.83%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 85.82%EV -10.39%E -9.99%K -259.65%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 18:40
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 87.23%EV -12.11%E -11.87%K -605.47%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +22.11%E +0.961%K +1.01%G +0.222%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 87.23%EV -12.11%E -11.87%K -605.47%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +22.11%E +0.961%K +1.01%G +0.222%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV +11.49%E +0.547%K +0.575%G +0.066%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.78%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000%16.20I 6.17%NM 5.49%EV -13.99%E -0.864%K -0.920%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 9.73%EV -22.01%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.51%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.62%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.44%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%0.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.38%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86%0.6%2026-03-06 18:55
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 90.15%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.07%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.78%1.8%2026-03-06 18:55