L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Hilal v Al-Najma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hilal (Local)
Prévision 86.17%1.16cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -3.92%
Kelly -39.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.62%86.38%86.04%89.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.061.051.1198.04%94.62%95.24%90.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Najma (Visiteur)
Prévision 5.31%18.84cote équitable
EV +32.73%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.446%
avec la cote maximale 25.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.65%5.33%5.15%6.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
14.0019.9018.6025.007.14%5.03%5.38%4.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 8.52%11.73cote équitable
EV +39.79%
Avantage +2.43%
Kelly +2.58%
Croissance +1.03%
avec la cote maximale 16.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.91%8.30%8.81%9.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.1511.1911.0016.4010.93%8.94%9.09%6.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.88%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.53%G +0.000% | 18.60I 5.38%NM 5.21%EV -1.25%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 16.40I 6.10%NM 5.91%EV +39.79%E +2.43%K +2.58%G +1.03% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.20%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 21.79I 4.59%NM 4.34%EV +15.69%E +0.720%K +0.755%G +0.118% | 14.64I 6.83%NM 6.46%EV +24.78%E +1.69%K +1.82%G +0.450% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +11.49%E +0.547%K +0.575%G +0.066% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +11.49%E +0.547%K +0.575%G +0.066% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +2.28%E +0.190%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.56%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -4.43%E -0.246%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.69%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -20.36%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -6.24%E -0.567%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.00%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -4.43%E -0.246%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.50%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.67%EV -10.39%E -9.99%K -259.65%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.50%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.67%EV -10.39%E -9.99%K -259.65%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV +32.73%E +1.31%K +1.36%G +0.446% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.50%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 4.90%EV -1.78%E -0.096%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.84%EV -12.63%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.71%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.29%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 18:06 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.62%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -25.67%E -1.83%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.82%EV -10.39%E -9.99%K -259.65%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -9.74%E -0.573%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 87.23%EV -12.11%E -11.87%K -605.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +22.11%E +0.961%K +1.01%G +0.222% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 87.23%EV -12.11%E -11.87%K -605.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +22.11%E +0.961%K +1.01%G +0.222% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -14.76%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.66%E -8.17%K -144.38%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV +11.49%E +0.547%K +0.575%G +0.066% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.78%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.49%G +0.000% | 16.20I 6.17%NM 5.49%EV -13.99%E -0.864%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 9.73%EV -22.01%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.51% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.62% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.44% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.38% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.15% | 32.05I 3.12%NM 3.07% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |