Language:English
Al-Hazem v Diriyah Club
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Hazem (Local)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -0.788%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%25.79%25.95%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.383.7733.33%29.73%29.63%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diriyah Club (Visit)
Prediction 48.84%2.05fair odd
EV +0.614%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.14%48.95%48.84%50.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.942.0655.56%52.07%51.68%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.25%25.21%27.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.45%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Hazem (Local): 25.95%; Diriyah Club (Visit): 48.84%; Draw: 25.21%. For Diriyah Club (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.614%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.71%EV -2.18%E -0.579%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.06%EV +0.614%E +0.298%K +0.579%G +0.004% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -20.86%E -6.84%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -20.86%E -6.84%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.54%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -20.86%E -6.84%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.54%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -5.74%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -22.16%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.22%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -18.06%E -5.56%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.78%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -13.08%E -3.90%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -9.15%E -4.92%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.60%E -6.41%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.68%E -4.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.90% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-08-21 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |