默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hazem v Diriyah Club

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 16:15 UTC

最终结果: Al-Hazem 0–1 Diriyah Club

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hazem (主队)

预测 25.95%3.85公平赔率
EV -2.18%
优势 -0.579%
Kelly -0.788%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.77

博彩公司预测分布
24.56%25.79%25.95%28.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.363.383.7733.33%29.73%29.63%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

Diriyah Club (客队)

预测 48.84%2.05公平赔率
EV +0.614%
优势 +0.298%
Kelly +0.579%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
45.14%48.95%48.84%50.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.921.942.0655.56%52.07%51.68%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.21%3.97公平赔率
EV -4.19%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.16%25.25%25.21%27.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.45%28.57%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Hazem (主队):25.95%;Diriyah Club (客队):48.84%;平局:25.21%。 对于“Diriyah Club (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.06,对应+0.614%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.71%EV -2.18%E -0.579%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.06%EV +0.614%E +0.298%K +0.579%G +0.004%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 16:14
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -18.27%E -5.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -20.86%E -6.84%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -20.86%E -6.84%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.54%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -20.86%E -6.84%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.54%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -5.74%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -22.16%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.22%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -18.06%E -5.56%K -8.03%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-21 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.78%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 16:05
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -13.08%E -3.90%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -9.15%E -4.92%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 16:10
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 16:05
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.60%E -6.41%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 16:05
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.68%E -4.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-21 15:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-08-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-08-21 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-08-21 16:05