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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Hazem v Al-Taawoun

开赛时间： 2026-09-08 15:55 UTC

最终结果： Al-Hazem 1–0 Al-Taawoun

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hazem (主队)

预测 29.55%3.38公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -0.755%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
27.77%29.63%29.76%31.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.143.173.3035.71%31.82%31.55%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Taawoun (客队)

预测 42.30%2.36公平赔率
EV -4.41%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -3.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
40.46%42.25%42.14%44.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.962.122.102.2651.02%47.24%47.62%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.15%3.55公平赔率
EV -4.27%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.49%28.12%28.09%29.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.44%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Hazem (主队)：29.55%；Al-Taawoun (客队)：42.30%；平局：28.15%。 对于“Al-Hazem (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.38。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.30，期望值为-2.49%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -2.49%E -0.755%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 15:30
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.27%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 15:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -4.26%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.45%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 15:25
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.90%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 15:30
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -13.71%E -6.72%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 15:10
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.83%EV -5.74%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.10%EV -4.41%E -1.95%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.07%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-08 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-08 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 15:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 15:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:20
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.66%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 15:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.55%EV -17.10%E -8.72%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 15:10
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -13.29%E -6.48%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.90%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -13.29%E -6.48%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -15.79%E -5.54%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -17.27%E -6.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 15:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-09-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-09-08 15:35
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.3%2026-09-08 15:35