Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Hazem v Al-Taawoun

Inizio: 2026-09-08 15:55 UTC

Finale: Al-Hazem 1–0 Al-Taawoun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Hazem (Casa)

Previsione 29.55%3.38quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -0.755%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.77%29.63%29.76%31.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.143.173.3035.71%31.82%31.55%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Taawoun (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.30%2.36quota equa
EV -4.41%
Vantaggio -1.95%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.46%42.25%42.14%44.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.122.102.2651.02%47.24%47.62%44.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.15%3.55quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.49%28.12%28.09%29.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.44%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Hazem (Casa): 29.55%; Al-Taawoun (Trasferta): 42.30%; Pareggio: 28.15%. Per Al-Hazem (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.38. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.30, con un valore atteso del -2.49%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -2.49%E -0.755%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 15:30
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.27%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 15:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -12.02%E -5.78%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 15:10
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -4.26%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.45%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 15:25
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.90%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 15:30
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -13.71%E -6.72%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 15:10
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.83%EV -5.74%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.10%EV -4.41%E -1.95%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.07%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-08 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-08 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 15:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 15:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:20
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.66%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 15:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.55%EV -17.10%E -8.72%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 15:10
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -13.29%E -6.48%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.90%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -13.29%E -6.48%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.31%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -15.79%E -5.54%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -17.27%E -6.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-09-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-09-08 15:35
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.3%2026-09-08 15:35