Language:English
Al-Hazem v Al-Riyadh
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Hazem (Local)
Prediction 35.72%2.80fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.84%35.74%35.72%38.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.482.502.6243.86%40.40%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Riyadh (Visit)
Prediction 37.18%2.69fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.40%37.22%37.15%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.12%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -0.548%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.04%27.13%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.363.403.6734.72%29.80%29.41%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Hazem (Local): 35.72%; Al-Riyadh (Visit): 37.18%; Draw: 27.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.67, with an expected value of -0.548%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.94%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.33%EV -11.89%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.87%EV -8.19%E -3.19%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.82%EV -0.548%E -0.149%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -8.55%E -3.34%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.06%EV -6.31%E -2.51%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -4.34%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.52%E -4.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.26%E -5.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.26%E -5.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-20 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -16.05%E -6.83%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -16.05%E -6.83%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -17.83%E -7.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -17.83%E -7.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -18.55%E -8.14%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |