L’École des cotes

Al-Hazem v Al-Riyadh

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 16:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Hazem (Local)

Prévision 35.72%2.80cote équitable
EV -6.40%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.84%35.74%35.72%38.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.482.502.6243.86%40.40%40.00%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Riyadh (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.18%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.40%37.22%37.15%38.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.12%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -0.548%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.205%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%27.04%27.13%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.403.6734.72%29.80%29.41%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:35
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:35
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:14
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:14
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:44
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.94%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.33%EV -11.89%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 36.87%EV -8.19%E -3.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.82%EV -0.548%E -0.149%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -8.55%E -3.34%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.06%EV -6.31%E -2.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -4.34%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:04
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.52%E -4.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 23:14
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-24 02:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-24 02:14
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.99%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-24 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 23:14
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.26%E -5.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 18:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.26%E -5.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-20 17:30
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -16.05%E -6.83%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -16.05%E -6.83%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -1.48%E -0.559%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:34
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -17.83%E -7.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -17.83%E -7.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:35
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -18.55%E -8.14%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-04-24 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-04-24 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%5.4%2026-04-24 03:35