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Al-Hazem v Al-Ittihad
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Hazem (Local)
Prediction 17.63%5.67fair odd
EV +12.82%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.304%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.23%17.71%17.62%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.665.506.4022.22%17.68%18.18%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ittihad (Visit)
Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.15%61.25%61.46%65.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.451.441.5972.99%68.97%69.44%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.91%4.78fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.24%21.04%20.92%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.324.354.6126.67%23.13%22.99%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Hazem (Local): 17.63%; Al-Ittihad (Visit): 61.46%; Draw: 20.91%. For Al-Hazem (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.67. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV +10.18%E +1.63%K +1.94%G +0.197% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.18%EV -15.80%E -11.53%K -42.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV +10.18%E +1.63%K +1.94%G +0.197% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.18%EV -15.80%E -11.53%K -42.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.37%EV +4.54%E +0.765%K +0.920%G +0.042% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.05%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-23 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-23 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-23 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-23 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.62%EV -5.33%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.53%EV -3.60%E -0.780%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -12.11%E -8.47%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.35%EV -9.21%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.62%EV -10.88%E -7.51%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -11.12%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-24 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -21.58%E -5.75%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.91%EV -9.65%E -6.57%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-24 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -20.67%E -4.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-24 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-02-24 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 2.2% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |