L’École des cotes

Al-Hazem v Al-Ittihad

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Hazem (Local)

Prévision 17.63%5.67cote équitable
EV +12.82%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.304%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.23%17.71%17.62%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.665.506.4022.22%17.68%18.18%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Ittihad (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.46%1.63cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.15%61.25%61.46%65.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.451.441.5972.99%68.97%69.44%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.91%4.78cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -0.780%
Kelly -0.996%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.24%21.04%20.92%22.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.324.354.6126.67%23.13%22.99%21.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:55
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:55
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:55
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:55
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:55
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:55
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV +12.82%E +2.00%K +2.37%G +0.304%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 18:55
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV +10.18%E +1.63%K +1.94%G +0.197%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.18%EV -15.80%E -11.53%K -42.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-24 18:55
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV +10.18%E +1.63%K +1.94%G +0.197%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.18%EV -15.80%E -11.53%K -42.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-24 18:55
1xBet5.93I 16.86%NM 16.37%EV +4.54%E +0.765%K +0.920%G +0.042%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.05%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 18:55
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-24 18:55
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-24 18:55
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-23 16:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-23 16:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-23 16:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.04%E -0.553%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-23 16:50
Pinnacle5.37I 18.62%NM 17.62%EV -5.33%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.53%EV -3.60%E -0.780%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 18:50
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 18:10
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 18:50
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -12.11%E -8.47%K -28.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 18:55
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 18:10
Unibet (FR)5.15I 19.42%NM 17.35%EV -9.21%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.62%EV -10.88%E -7.51%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -11.12%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-24 18:54
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -21.58%E -5.75%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-24 18:55
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.91%EV -9.65%E -6.57%K -20.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-24 18:49
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -20.67%E -4.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-24 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-02-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-02-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-02-24 18:55
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-02-24 18:50