赔率学院

Al-Fayha v Al-Riyadh

开赛时间： 2026-05-04 16:10 UTC

最终结果： Al-Fayha 4–2 Al-Riyadh

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Al-Fayha (主队)

预测 37.08%2.70公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -0.945%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
35.29%37.05%37.21%38.79%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.282.432.402.6343.86%41.19%41.67%38.02%MIN均值中位数MAX

Al-Riyadh (客队)

预测 35.77%2.80公平赔率
EV +1.95%
优势 +0.684%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.38%35.77%35.72%36.55%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.402.632.602.8541.67%37.99%38.46%35.09%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.15%3.68公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -0.628%
Kelly -0.869%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.45%27.18%27.06%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.85%31.25%27.78%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 15:55
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV +0.162%E +0.058%K +0.090%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 15:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV +0.162%E +0.058%K +0.090%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.72%E -6.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -1.63%E -0.592%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 15:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.72%E -6.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -1.63%E -0.592%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 15:55
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -15.46%E -6.78%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.42%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -17.19%E -5.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 15:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.87%EV -2.49%E -0.945%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -2.80%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 16:04
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:45
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.26%E -0.628%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -2.86%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:43
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.01%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.80%EV -9.59%E -2.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-04 15:49
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-04 15:50
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 15:50
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 15:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -14.15%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-04 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.01%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.15%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.81%E -7.57%K -11.60%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-04 15:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-05-04 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-05-04 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-05-04 16:05
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-05-04 16:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%4.0%2026-05-04 16:05