La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fayha v Al-Riyadh
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fayha (Local)
Predicción 37.08%2.70momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.945%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%37.05%37.21%38.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.432.402.6343.86%41.19%41.67%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Riyadh (Visitante)
Predicción 35.77%2.80momio equitativo
EV +1.95%
Ventaja +0.684%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.38%35.77%35.72%36.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.602.8541.67%37.99%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.869%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.45%27.18%27.06%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.85%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +1.95%E +0.684%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV +0.162%E +0.058%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV +0.162%E +0.058%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.72%E -6.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -1.63%E -0.592%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.72%E -6.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -1.63%E -0.592%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -15.46%E -6.78%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.42%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -17.19%E -5.64%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.87%EV -2.49%E -0.945%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -2.80%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.26%E -0.628%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -2.86%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:43 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.01%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.80%EV -9.59%E -2.88%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -14.15%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.01%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.15%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.81%E -7.57%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-04 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-04 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.54% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 16:05 |