Language:English
Al-Fayha v Al-Kholood
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.642%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%28.15%28.34%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.103.5935.09%31.87%32.26%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Kholood (Visit)
Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV +0.156%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.10%44.62%44.61%47.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.092.2551.28%47.63%47.73%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.489%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.98%27.23%27.05%29.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.7334.72%31.20%31.25%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Fayha (Local): 28.32%; Al-Kholood (Visit): 44.51%; Draw: 27.17%. For Al-Fayha (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV +1.66%E +0.464%K +0.642%G +0.011% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.03%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.98%EV +1.33%E +0.358%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -0.885%E -0.253%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.31%E -6.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.52%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58%EV -2.74%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.81%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.02%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.97%EV -11.42%E -5.74%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-03 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -16.46%E -5.58%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -2.07%E -0.941%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -19.86%E -6.73%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -17.88%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -19.86%E -6.73%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -17.88%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -19.86%E -6.73%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.11%EV -19.29%E -6.77%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.10%EV -4.74%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -21.76%E -7.55%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |