默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Fayha v Al-Kholood

开赛时间: 2026-09-03 15:55 UTC

最终结果: Al-Fayha 2–2 Al-Kholood

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Fayha (主队)

预测 28.32%3.53公平赔率
EV +1.66%
优势 +0.464%
Kelly +0.642%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 3.59

博彩公司预测分布
26.27%28.15%28.34%30.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.143.103.5935.09%31.87%32.26%27.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Kholood (客队)

预测 44.51%2.25公平赔率
EV +0.156%
优势 +0.070%
Kelly +0.125%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
40.10%44.62%44.61%47.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.102.092.2551.28%47.63%47.73%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.17%3.68公平赔率
EV +1.33%
优势 +0.358%
Kelly +0.489%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 3.73

博彩公司预测分布
25.98%27.23%27.05%29.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.203.203.7334.72%31.20%31.25%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Fayha (主队):28.32%;Al-Kholood (客队):44.51%;平局:27.17%。 对于“Al-Fayha (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.53。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.59,对应+1.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV +1.66%E +0.464%K +0.642%G +0.011%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.03%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.98%EV +1.33%E +0.358%K +0.489%G +0.007%3.2%2026-09-03 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -0.885%E -0.253%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.31%E -6.25%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:50
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.52%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58%EV -2.74%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:50
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 15:40
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 15:45
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.81%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.02%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 15:35
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 13:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.97%EV -11.42%E -5.74%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-03 15:30
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -17.14%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -16.46%E -5.58%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -2.07%E -0.941%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -19.86%E -6.73%K -10.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -17.88%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -19.86%E -6.73%K -10.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-03 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -17.88%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -19.86%E -6.73%K -10.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-03 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.11%EV -19.29%E -6.77%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.10%EV -4.74%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -21.76%E -7.55%K -11.57%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-03 15:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-03 15:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-03 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.0%2026-09-03 15:50
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-03 15:50
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-03 15:50