Language:English
Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prediction 16.03%6.24fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 6.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.40%16.01%16.03%16.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.896.006.3918.52%16.97%16.67%15.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ahli (Visit)
Prediction 62.92%1.59fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -8.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.85%62.89%62.98%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5272.46%69.25%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.05%4.75fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%21.10%20.99%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.184.104.6827.78%23.90%24.39%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Fayha (Local): 16.03%; Al-Ahli (Visit): 62.92%; Draw: 21.05%. For Al-Fayha (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.24. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.17%EV +2.46%E +0.385%K +0.456%G +0.011% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.79%EV -4.37%E -2.87%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.03%EV -2.96%E -0.642%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -8.14%E -5.58%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.03%E -7.01%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-08 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.03%E -7.01%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-08 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV -2.19%E -0.359%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.15%EV -11.29%E -8.01%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-08 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.53%EV -2.19%E -0.359%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.31%EV -11.92%E -8.51%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV -2.19%E -0.359%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.64%EV -13.18%E -9.55%K -34.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 14:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 15.94%EV -4.92%E -0.829%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.86%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.20%EV -1.49%E -0.318%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -10.66%E -7.51%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-08 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.17%E -0.689%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 15:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-08 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-08 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.92%E -8.51%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-08 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -11.92%E -8.51%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.22%E -6.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -10.03%E -7.01%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |