L’École des cotes

Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 15:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Fayha (Local)

Prévision 16.03%6.24cote équitable
EV +2.46%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.456%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 6.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.40%16.01%16.03%16.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.405.896.006.3918.52%16.97%16.67%15.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Ahli (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.92%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -8.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.85%62.89%62.98%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5272.46%69.25%69.44%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.05%4.75cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.20%21.10%20.99%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.184.104.6827.78%23.90%24.39%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet6.39I 15.65%NM 15.17%EV +2.46%E +0.385%K +0.456%G +0.011%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.79%EV -4.37%E -2.87%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.03%EV -2.96%E -0.642%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 15:50
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -8.14%E -5.58%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 15:30
Grosvenor6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:30
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:30
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:30
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:30
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:30
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.03%E -7.01%K -23.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.03%E -7.01%K -23.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 15:05
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV -2.19%E -0.359%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.15%EV -11.29%E -8.01%K -27.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-08 15:30
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.53%EV -2.19%E -0.359%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.31%EV -11.92%E -8.51%K -29.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-08 15:50
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV -2.19%E -0.359%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.64%EV -13.18%E -9.55%K -34.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-08 15:50
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 14:23
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 15:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 15:40
Pinnacle5.93I 16.86%NM 15.94%EV -4.92%E -0.829%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.86%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.20%EV -1.49%E -0.318%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -10.66%E -7.51%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 15:49
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.17%E -0.689%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:50
Betclic (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 15:33
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 13:05
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 15:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 15:49
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 15:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-08 15:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.92%E -8.51%K -29.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-08 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -11.92%E -8.51%K -29.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.22%E -6.73%K -9.32%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-08 15:40
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -10.03%E -7.01%K -23.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-08 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-04-08 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-04-08 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-08 15:50
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-04-08 15:50