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Al-Fayha v Abha Club

2026-08-28 16:00 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Fayha (Local)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.72%40.58%40.69%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.182.202.3750.76%45.89%45.45%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abha Club (Visit)

Prediction 31.30%3.19fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.534%
Kelly +0.772%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%31.26%31.20%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.14%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.16%28.11%29.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.133.103.3933.90%31.95%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Fayha (Local): 40.54%; Abha Club (Visit): 31.30%; Draw: 28.16%. For Abha Club (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV +1.74%E +0.534%K +0.772%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV +1.74%E +0.534%K +0.772%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:34
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV +1.74%E +0.534%K +0.772%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV +1.74%E +0.534%K +0.772%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV +1.74%E +0.534%K +0.772%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV +1.74%E +0.534%K +0.772%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.12%EV -16.50%E -8.01%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV +0.172%E +0.054%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-26 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.96%EV -17.31%E -8.48%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -1.39%E -0.442%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-26 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.96%EV -17.31%E -8.48%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -1.39%E -0.442%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-26 18:34
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -3.93%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -2.96%E -0.954%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.42%EV -20.15%E -10.23%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -2.96%E -0.954%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.99%EV -16.93%E -5.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.09%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.09%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 19:54
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.09%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.09%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.63%EV -11.63%E -5.34%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.45%EV -6.71%E -2.25%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-26 19:54
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.15%EV -5.55%E -2.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.50%EV -7.03%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 20:49
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -5.55%E -2.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -8.28%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.69%EV -4.53%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.22%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-26 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 20:54
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-26 19:54
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-26 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-26 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-26 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-26 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.35%E -4.41%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -14.11%E -4.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-26 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -12.85%E -5.98%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -13.91%E -5.06%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-26 19:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -12.85%E -5.98%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.48%E -5.73%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-26 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.9%2026-08-27 01:34
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.40%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-08-27 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.6%2026-08-26 20:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.6%2026-08-26 20:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.6%2026-08-26 20:19