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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Fayha v Abha Club

开赛时间： 2026-08-28 16:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Fayha 3–2 Abha Club

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Fayha (主队)

预测 36.51%2.74公平赔率
EV -4.34%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.62

博彩公司预测分布
34.80%36.41%36.45%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.512.522.6241.67%39.86%39.68%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Abha Club (客队)

预测 34.78%2.88公平赔率
EV +1.21%
优势 +0.416%
Kelly +0.634%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.91

博彩公司预测分布
33.32%34.90%34.81%36.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.592.602.9141.67%38.67%38.46%34.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.71%3.48公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -0.703%
Kelly -0.996%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.89%28.69%28.75%29.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.123.103.4033.90%32.06%32.26%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Fayha (主队)：36.51%；Abha Club (客队)：34.78%；平局：28.71%。 对于“Abha Club (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.88。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.91，对应+1.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%EV -7.26%E -2.86%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV +1.21%E +0.416%K +0.634%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.39%E -0.703%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 15:56
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 15:56
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -4.69%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 15:56
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 15:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.83%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 15:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -12.37%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:56
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -12.37%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -12.37%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:56
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 15:46
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:45
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.31%E -4.44%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -11.31%E -4.44%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -9.45%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -12.44%E -4.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 15:56
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 15:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.44%E -4.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-28 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.87%E -4.62%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-28 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -6.17%E -2.40%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%EV -15.48%E -6.37%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.37%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.26%EV -15.48%E -6.37%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -15.31%E -5.19%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-28 15:56
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -12.37%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -16.53%E -6.89%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-28 15:41
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 36.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-08-28 15:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-28 15:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-28 15:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-28 15:56
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.71%2.0%2026-08-28 15:50