L’École des cotes

Al-Fateh v Al-Okhdood

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Fateh (Local)

Prévision 48.79%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.20%48.71%48.87%53.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.831.852.0259.88%54.76%54.20%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Okhdood (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV +6.70%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.138%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.61%25.08%25.13%26.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.793.714.2530.30%26.38%26.92%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV -4.46%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.20%26.21%26.00%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.503.6633.33%28.88%28.57%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 18:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 18:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 18:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 18:55
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -16.57%E -9.69%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +5.45%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.093%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-23 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -18.52%E -11.09%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV +2.93%E +0.716%K +0.947%G +0.028%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-23 18:55
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -18.52%E -11.09%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV +2.93%E +0.716%K +0.947%G +0.028%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-23 18:55
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.05%EV -1.45%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV +0.926%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.81%EV -8.89%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 18:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.23%EV -5.84%E -3.02%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.81%EV -3.84%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.96%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 18:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -11.20%E -6.16%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.46%EV -7.61%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-23 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 18:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-23 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.57%EV -10.23%E -5.56%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-23 18:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-23 18:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-23 18:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-23 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-23 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.15%EV -12.67%E -7.08%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.35%EV -12.88%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-23 18:44
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -21.69%E -7.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-02-23 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-02-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-02-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-02-23 18:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-02-23 18:55