La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fateh v Al-Okhdood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fateh (Local)
Predicción 48.79%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.20%48.71%48.87%53.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.831.852.0259.88%54.76%54.20%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Okhdood (Visitante)
Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV +6.70%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.138%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.61%25.08%25.13%26.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.793.714.2530.30%26.38%26.92%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV -4.46%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%26.21%26.00%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.6633.33%28.88%28.57%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -15.59%E -9.01%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV +6.70%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.138% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -16.57%E -9.69%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +5.45%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.093% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -18.52%E -11.09%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV +2.93%E +0.716%K +0.947%G +0.028% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -18.52%E -11.09%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV +2.93%E +0.716%K +0.947%G +0.028% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.05%EV -1.45%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV +0.926%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.81%EV -8.89%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.23%EV -5.84%E -3.02%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.81%EV -3.84%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.96%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -11.20%E -6.16%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.46%EV -7.61%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-23 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.57%EV -10.23%E -5.56%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-23 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.74%E -5.26%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.46%E -5.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.15%EV -12.67%E -7.08%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.35%EV -12.88%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-23 18:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -21.69%E -7.23%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97% | 1.6% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |