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Al-Faisaly KSA FC v Al-Ittihad
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Local)
Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV +0.901%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%23.91%24.21%26.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.673.654.2031.25%27.24%27.40%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ittihad (Visit)
Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.39%52.31%52.08%53.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.751.8160.24%56.96%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%23.77%23.71%24.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.704.0628.57%26.49%27.03%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Local): 24.02%; Al-Ittihad (Visit): 52.25%; Draw: 23.73%. For Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.901%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV +0.901%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -5.59%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -7.94%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 15:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -7.75%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -13.27%E -7.99%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -10.13%E -5.89%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -11.83%E -3.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.57%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.99%EV -3.67%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -14.71%E -4.14%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.71%E -4.14%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.89%EV -12.22%E -7.27%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -9.61%E -5.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -15.77%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -9.61%E -5.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -15.77%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -17.12%E -4.96%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.96%E -4.84%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -23.12%E -7.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |