默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Faisaly KSA FC v Al-Ittihad

开赛时间: 2026-09-11 15:45 UTC

最终结果: Al-Faisaly KSA FC 1–3 Al-Ittihad

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Faisaly KSA FC (主队)

预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV +0.901%
优势 +0.215%
Kelly +0.282%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.85%23.91%24.21%26.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.673.654.2031.25%27.24%27.40%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ittihad (客队)

预测 52.25%1.91公平赔率
EV -5.43%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -6.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
50.39%52.31%52.08%53.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.761.751.8160.24%56.96%57.14%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.73%4.21公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -0.904%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.06

博彩公司预测分布
22.84%23.77%23.71%24.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.773.704.0628.57%26.49%27.03%24.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Faisaly KSA FC (主队):24.02%;Al-Ittihad (客队):52.25%;平局:23.73%。 对于“Al-Faisaly KSA FC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.16。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.20,对应+0.901%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV +0.901%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:41
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -5.59%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -7.94%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:47
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:45
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 21:30
1xBet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -7.75%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:26
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -13.27%E -7.99%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:26
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -10.13%E -5.89%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 21:30
Pinnacle🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -11.83%E -3.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.57%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.99%EV -3.67%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 18:30
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 18:30
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:25
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 16:55
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -14.71%E -4.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.71%E -4.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.89%EV -12.22%E -7.27%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -12.21%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-08 21:30
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -9.61%E -5.55%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -15.77%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -9.61%E -5.55%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -15.77%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-08 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -17.12%E -4.96%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.96%E -4.84%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-08 18:30
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -23.12%E -7.23%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.18%E -6.57%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-09 17:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%5.2%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%5.2%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%10.4%2026-09-09 17:05