L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Prévision 28.89%3.46cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +0.484%
Kelly +0.676%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 3.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.94%28.75%30.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.203.5234.48%31.26%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Ittihad (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.23%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.83%47.20%47.30%48.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.931.932.0554.95%51.93%51.81%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.88%4.19cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -0.679%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.03%23.86%23.95%26.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.713.704.1031.25%26.94%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV +1.70%E +0.484%K +0.676%G +0.012% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.76%EV -6.01%E -3.02%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.11%E -0.514%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.07%EV -6.48%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.27%EV -2.34%E -0.573%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -11.21%E -5.96%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -15.24%E -4.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -11.21%E -5.96%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -15.24%E -4.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.64%EV -12.62%E -6.82%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -15.24%E -4.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.27%EV -9.56%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.62%EV -14.04%E -7.72%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.11%EV -8.55%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.79%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.96%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.83%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -23.59%E -7.37%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-14 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -14.76%E -5.01%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.12%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.19%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |