La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +0.484%
Kelly +0.676%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.94%28.75%30.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.203.203.5234.48%31.26%31.25%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ittihad (Visitante)
Predicción 47.23%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.83%47.20%47.30%48.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.931.932.0554.95%51.93%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.88%4.19momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -0.679%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.03%23.86%23.95%26.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.713.704.1031.25%26.94%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV +1.70%E +0.484%K +0.676%G +0.012% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.76%EV -6.01%E -3.02%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.11%E -0.514%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.07%EV -6.48%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.27%EV -2.34%E -0.573%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -8.85%E -4.58%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -11.21%E -5.96%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -15.24%E -4.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -11.21%E -5.96%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -15.24%E -4.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.64%EV -12.62%E -6.82%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -15.24%E -4.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.27%EV -9.56%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.62%EV -14.04%E -7.72%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.11%EV -8.55%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.79%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.96%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.83%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -23.59%E -7.37%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-14 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -14.76%E -5.01%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.12%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.19%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-14 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:51 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |