Langue:Français
Al-Ahli v Al-Riyadh
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prévision 73.32%1.36cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -3.60%
Kelly -15.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.59%73.24%73.21%75.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.3083.33%80.06%80.00%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Riyadh (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.66%9.38cote équitable
EV +6.64%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +0.738%
Croissance +0.049%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.21%10.61%10.87%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.588.5010.0013.33%11.65%11.76%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 16.01%6.24cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.221%
Kelly -0.263%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.33%16.15%15.92%17.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.385.336.1620.41%18.58%18.78%16.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Ahli (Local) : 73.32% ; Al-Riyadh (Visiteur) : 10.66% ; Match nul : 16.01%. Pour Al-Riyadh (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.38. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.00, soit une espérance positive de +6.64%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +6.64%E +0.664%K +0.738%G +0.049% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.55%E -8.64%K -47.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +6.64%E +0.664%K +0.738%G +0.049% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.92%E -0.653%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.31%EV -9.81%E -7.98%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV +3.97%E +0.408%K +0.454%G +0.018% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -10.33%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.72%EV +2.37%E +0.247%K +0.276%G +0.007% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.65%EV -4.56%E -0.765%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +1.31%E +0.138%K +0.154%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -10.55%E -8.64%K -47.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV +1.31%E +0.138%K +0.154%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.24%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.03%EV -1.36%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.52%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -4.68%E -3.60%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -4.02%E -0.447%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -4.68%E -3.60%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -4.02%E -0.447%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.02%E -0.447%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.79%EV -6.15%E -4.80%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 8.68I 11.52%NM 10.88%EV -7.44%E -0.857%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.33%EV -1.36%E -0.221%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -16.73%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -16.73%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -16.73%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -16.73%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -16.73%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -6.88%E -5.42%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -16.73%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.99%EV -9.08%E -7.32%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -18.33%E -3.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -10.55%E -8.64%K -47.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -15.93%E -3.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.18%EV -11.28%E -9.32%K -53.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.40%EV -13.53%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -14.69%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -5.52%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.55%E -8.64%K -47.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -14.69%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.93%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -9.81%E -7.98%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.69%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -19.93%E -3.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -9.81%E -7.98%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.69%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -19.93%E -3.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.69%EV -12.01%E -10.01%K -60.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.75%EV -14.69%E -1.84%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.56%EV -21.54%E -4.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -9.81%E -7.98%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -17.35%E -2.24%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -10.33%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -20.02%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.93%E -3.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -20.02%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.93%E -3.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -20.02%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.93%E -3.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -8.35%E -6.68%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -20.02%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.93%E -3.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.48% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |