A Escola das Odds

Al-Ahli v Al-Okhdood

Início: 2026-05-03 18:02 UTC

Final: Al-Ahli 4–0 Al-Okhdood

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

31 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Ahli (Local)

Previsão 79.80%1.25odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -2.84%
Kelly -16.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.52%79.69%80.05%81.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.151.151.2190.91%87.23%86.96%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Okhdood (Visitante)

Previsão 7.32%13.65odd justa
EV +12.05%
Vantagem +0.788%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescimento +0.102%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.96%7.26%7.33%8.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0013.3514.0015.3010.00%7.49%7.14%6.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 12.87%7.77odd justa
EV +8.12%
Vantagem +0.967%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.21%13.06%12.62%15.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.836.758.4018.18%14.64%14.81%11.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.46%EV -3.44%E -2.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%15.30I 6.54%NM 6.36%EV +12.05%E +0.788%K +0.843%G +0.102%7.39I 13.53%NM 13.17%EV -4.88%E -0.660%K -0.764%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:59
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:00
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:01
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:00
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:01
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:01
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.82%E -8.69%K -75.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.77%E -3.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 18:01
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.82%E -8.69%K -75.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:01
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -12.21%E -11.10%K -122.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 18:01
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 18:00
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 79.97%EV -12.21%E -11.10%K -122.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -17.62%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 18:01
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.50%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -1.13%E -0.084%K -0.090%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -19.55%E -3.13%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -4.79%E -0.368%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:58
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -4.79%E -0.368%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:58
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.20%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -8.45%E -0.676%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -25.35%E -4.37%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 18:00
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 81.16%EV -7.43%E -6.40%K -46.42%G +0.000%12.33I 8.11%NM 7.64%EV -9.70%E -0.786%K -0.856%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +8.12%E +0.967%K +1.10%G +0.089%6.2%2026-05-03 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.62%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.41%EV -10.28%E -0.839%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 18:00
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:59
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:59
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -22.77%E -3.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 18:01
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.23%E -3.53%K -21.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -19.44%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.23%E -3.53%K -21.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -19.44%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:01
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 75.52%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.69%EV -26.76%E -2.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -29.21%E -5.31%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.84%EV -9.82%E -8.69%K -75.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.68%EV -26.76%E -2.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -22.77%E -3.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-03 17:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%0.9%2026-05-03 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%0.9%2026-05-03 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 83.38%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-05-03 18:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.43%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.81%5.1%2026-05-03 18:00