L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ahli v Al-Okhdood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prévision 79.80%1.25cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -16.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.52%79.69%80.05%81.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.151.2190.91%87.23%86.96%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Okhdood (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.32%13.65cote équitable
EV +12.05%
Avantage +0.788%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.102%
avec la cote maximale 15.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.96%7.26%7.33%8.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0013.3514.0015.3010.00%7.49%7.14%6.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 12.87%7.77cote équitable
EV +8.12%
Avantage +0.967%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.089%
avec la cote maximale 8.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.21%13.06%12.62%15.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.836.758.4018.18%14.64%14.81%11.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.46%EV -3.44%E -2.84%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 15.30I 6.54%NM 6.36%EV +12.05%E +0.788%K +0.843%G +0.102% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 13.17%EV -4.88%E -0.660%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.19%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.82%E -8.69%K -75.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV +9.86%E +0.657%K +0.704%G +0.069% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.77%E -3.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.82%E -8.69%K -75.54%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -12.21%E -11.10%K -122.15%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.97%EV -12.21%E -11.10%K -122.15%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +2.53%E +0.181%K +0.195%G +0.005% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -17.62%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.50%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -1.13%E -0.084%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -19.55%E -3.13%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -4.79%E -0.368%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:58 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -4.79%E -0.368%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.34%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.20%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -8.45%E -0.676%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -25.35%E -4.37%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.16%EV -7.43%E -6.40%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 12.33I 8.11%NM 7.64%EV -9.70%E -0.786%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +8.12%E +0.967%K +1.10%G +0.089% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.62%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.41%EV -10.28%E -0.839%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.02%E -7.91%K -64.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.63%E -5.67%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -22.77%E -3.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Sky Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -11.42%E -10.29%K -103.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -12.11%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.23%E -3.53%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -19.44%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.23%E -3.53%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -19.44%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.52%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.69%EV -26.76%E -2.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -29.21%E -5.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.84%EV -9.82%E -8.69%K -75.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.68%EV -26.76%E -2.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -22.77%E -3.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.38% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.43% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.81% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |