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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Abha Club v Al-Ettifaq

开赛时间： 2026-09-04 16:00 UTC

最终结果： Abha Club 0–1 Al-Ettifaq

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Abha Club (主队)

预测 38.10%2.62公平赔率
EV -4.76%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -3.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
36.38%37.91%38.19%39.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.422.412.5045.45%41.40%41.49%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ettifaq (客队)

预测 36.35%2.75公平赔率
EV -3.68%
优势 -1.39%
Kelly -2.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.26%36.48%36.28%38.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.332.482.482.6542.92%40.40%40.32%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.56%3.91公平赔率
EV -3.65%
优势 -0.968%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.77

博彩公司预测分布
24.62%25.61%25.54%26.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.483.483.7731.25%28.76%28.78%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Abha Club (主队)：38.10%；Al-Ettifaq (客队)：36.35%；平局：25.56%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.91。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.77，期望值为-3.65%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -6.29%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.97%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.28%EV -3.65%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.84%EV -7.48%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.48%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -9.78%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:21
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:29
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -13.49%E -5.67%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.94%E -5.21%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -13.49%E -5.67%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.94%E -5.21%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.46%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 36.77%EV -15.31%E -6.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.22%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-04 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.38%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.29%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -14.29%E -6.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-04 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -16.19%E -7.36%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -13.49%E -5.67%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-04 14:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.94%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30