Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Abha Club v Al-Ettifaq

Inizio: 2026-09-04 16:00 UTC

Finale: Abha Club 0–1 Al-Ettifaq

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Abha Club (Casa)

Previsione 38.10%2.62quota equa
EV -4.76%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -3.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.38%37.91%38.19%39.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.422.412.5045.45%41.40%41.49%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Ettifaq (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.35%2.75quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.26%36.48%36.28%38.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.332.482.482.6542.92%40.40%40.32%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.56%3.91quota equa
EV -3.65%
Vantaggio -0.968%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.62%25.61%25.54%26.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.483.483.7731.25%28.76%28.78%26.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Abha Club (Casa): 38.10%; Al-Ettifaq (Trasferta): 36.35%; Pareggio: 25.56%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.91. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.77, con un valore atteso del -3.65%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -6.29%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.97%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.28%EV -3.65%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.84%EV -7.48%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.48%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -9.78%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:21
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:29
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -13.49%E -5.67%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.94%E -5.21%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -13.49%E -5.67%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.94%E -5.21%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.46%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 36.77%EV -15.31%E -6.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.22%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-04 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.38%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.29%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -14.29%E -6.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-04 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -16.19%E -7.36%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -13.49%E -5.67%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.94%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-04 14:30