A Escola das Odds

Vitória SC v Alverca

Início: 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vitória SC (Local)

Previsão 53.45%1.87odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -4.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.64%53.43%53.52%54.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.56%57.47%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alverca (Visitante)

Previsão 20.16%4.96odd justa
EV +0.796%
Vantagem +0.159%
Kelly +0.199%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.07%20.17%20.16%21.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.634.605.0023.81%21.59%21.74%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.39%3.79odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.638%
Kelly -0.874%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%26.41%26.32%27.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.533.553.7032.26%28.35%28.17%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.796%E +0.159%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 20:24
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.796%E +0.159%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 20:25
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.54%EV -0.414%E -0.084%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 20:25
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -1.22%E -0.249%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:19
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV -1.62%E -0.333%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 20:19
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -2.23%E -0.459%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:24
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -2.23%E -0.459%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:24
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.24%E -0.674%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 20:04
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 19:59
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:04
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 20:24
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:55
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:50
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:50
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:54
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:54
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:54
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.23%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:24
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 09:04
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:00
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:54
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 19:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:24
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 19:54
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 19:54
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.64%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.16%EV -8.28%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 20:24
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:24
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 20:23
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 20:19
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.25%EV -11.27%E -6.79%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 19:54
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -10.29%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -10.29%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.30%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 20:25
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.30%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 20:09
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.71%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 18:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.71%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.74%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.33%E -3.65%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.19%E -5.87%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 20:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-02-28 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 20:24
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 20:24
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-02-28 20:25