La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vitória SC v Alverca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vitória SC (Local)
Predicción 53.45%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -4.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.64%53.43%53.52%54.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.56%57.47%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alverca (Visitante)
Predicción 20.16%4.96momio equitativo
EV +0.796%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.199%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.07%20.17%20.16%21.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.634.605.0023.81%21.59%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.638%
Kelly -0.874%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.41%26.32%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.553.7032.26%28.35%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.796%E +0.159%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.796%E +0.159%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.54%EV -0.414%E -0.084%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -1.22%E -0.249%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV -1.62%E -0.333%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -2.23%E -0.459%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -2.23%E -0.459%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.24%E -0.674%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.23%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.64%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.16%EV -8.28%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 20:23 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.25%EV -11.27%E -6.79%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -10.29%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -10.29%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.30%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.30%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 20:09 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.71%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.71%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.74%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.33%E -3.65%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.19%E -5.87%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-28 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |