L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vitória SC v Alverca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vitória SC (Local)
Prévision 53.45%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.64%53.43%53.52%54.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.56%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alverca (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.16%4.96cote équitable
EV +0.796%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.07%20.17%20.16%21.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.634.605.0023.81%21.59%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.39%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.638%
Kelly -0.874%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.41%26.32%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.553.7032.26%28.35%28.17%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.796%E +0.159%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.796%E +0.159%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.54%EV -0.414%E -0.084%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -1.22%E -0.249%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV -1.62%E -0.333%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -2.23%E -0.459%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -2.23%E -0.459%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.24%E -0.674%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.24%E -0.893%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.25%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.23%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.27%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.64%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.16%EV -8.28%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 20:23 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.25%EV -11.27%E -6.79%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.28%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -10.29%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -10.29%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.30%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.30%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 20:09 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.71%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.71%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.74%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.33%E -3.65%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.19%E -5.87%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-28 20:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |