La escuela de los momios

Tondela v Santa Clara

Inicio: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tondela (Local)

Predicción 30.43%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.176%
Ventaja -0.054%
Kelly -0.077%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.57%30.43%30.42%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.063.053.2834.72%32.67%32.79%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santa Clara (Visitante)

Predicción 36.94%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.643%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.381%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.43%36.94%36.93%38.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.502.6943.48%39.74%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.63%3.06momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.703%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.47%32.63%32.64%34.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.853.0038.02%35.14%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -0.176%E -0.054%K -0.077%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%EV -5.45%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55%EV -2.76%E -0.927%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 15:24
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.01%EV -0.643%E -0.239%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.52%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -3.74%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 14:39
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 14:39
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.12%E -0.800%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -11.90%E -4.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:39
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.12%E -0.800%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -11.90%E -4.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:39
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:39
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -2.11%E -0.703%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 14:39
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 14:39
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:24
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:24
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:23
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:25
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -8.31%E -2.96%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:24
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.83%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:09
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.83%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:09
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:39
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:24
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:24
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:22
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.40%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:24
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.40%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 14:39
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:20
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:24
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:39
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:43
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:44
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 14:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.27%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:08
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.35%E -4.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 14:42
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:25
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.27%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 15:24
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -13.20%E -5.62%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 15:25
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.51%EV -9.61%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.99%EV -6.55%E -2.59%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.51%EV -3.09%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 14:39
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -10.25%E -4.22%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.27%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -15.05%E -6.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -14.18%E -5.39%K -8.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 15:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-03-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%1.4%2026-03-01 15:25
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.89%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.68%2.7%2026-03-01 15:25