مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tondela v Santa Clara

البداية: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tondela (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.43%3.29السعر العادل
EV -0.176%
الأفضلية -0.054%
Kelly -0.077%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.57%30.43%30.42%31.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.063.053.2834.72%32.67%32.79%30.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santa Clara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.94%2.71السعر العادل
EV -0.643%
الأفضلية -0.239%
Kelly -0.381%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.43%36.94%36.93%38.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.522.502.6943.48%39.74%40.00%37.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.63%3.06السعر العادل
EV -2.11%
الأفضلية -0.703%
Kelly -1.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.47%32.63%32.64%34.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.852.853.0038.02%35.14%35.09%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -0.176%E -0.054%K -0.077%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%EV -5.45%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55%EV -2.76%E -0.927%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 15:24
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.01%EV -0.643%E -0.239%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.52%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -3.74%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 14:39
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 14:39
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.12%E -0.800%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -11.90%E -4.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:39
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.12%E -0.800%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -11.90%E -4.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:39
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:39
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -2.11%E -0.703%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 14:39
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 14:39
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:24
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:24
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:23
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:25
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -8.31%E -2.96%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:24
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.83%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:09
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.83%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:09
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:39
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:24
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:24
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:22
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.40%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:24
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.40%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 14:39
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:20
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:24
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:39
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:43
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:44
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 14:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.66%E -3.06%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.27%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:08
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.35%E -4.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 14:42
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:25
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.27%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 15:24
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -13.20%E -5.62%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 15:25
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.51%EV -9.61%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.99%EV -6.55%E -2.59%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.51%EV -3.09%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 14:39
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -10.25%E -4.22%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.27%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -15.05%E -6.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -14.18%E -5.39%K -8.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 15:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-03-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%1.4%2026-03-01 15:25
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.89%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.68%2.7%2026-03-01 15:25