Школа коэффициентов

Tondela v Nacional

Начало: 2026-04-25 14:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tondela (Хозяева)

Прогноз 33.49%2.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.21%
Преимущество -0.410%
Kelly -0.620%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.69%33.47%33.55%35.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.732.732.9540.00%36.61%36.70%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nacional (Гости)

Прогноз 38.38%2.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.933%
Преимущество +0.355%
Kelly +0.572%
Рост +0.005%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.69%38.30%38.35%39.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.57%40.82%38.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.13%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.53%
Преимущество -0.437%
Kelly -0.612%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.10%28.24%28.09%30.16%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.60%30.77%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV +0.933%E +0.355%K +0.572%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 15:34
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV +0.933%E +0.355%K +0.572%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 15:34
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.218%E -0.084%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 15:34
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.218%E -0.084%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 15:34
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.218%E -0.084%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 15:35
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.218%E -0.084%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 15:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.218%E -0.084%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 15:34
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.218%E -0.084%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 15:34
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.89%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.64%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.57%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 07:00
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.93%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 15:34
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.93%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 15:34
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.93%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -12.93%E -4.97%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 15:34
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -12.93%E -4.97%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 15:34
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -12.93%E -4.97%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.38%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 15:34
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -12.93%E -4.97%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.38%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 15:34
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV -1.21%E -0.410%K -0.620%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.50%EV -3.29%E -1.30%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.62%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.06%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.53%E -0.437%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 14:15
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.06%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:50
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -14.61%E -5.73%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -4.06%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 15:34
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.75%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:30
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 11:24
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 14:33
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:44
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:45
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.21%E -0.410%K -0.620%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:25
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 14:35
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 14:15
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 14:34
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 14:15
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 17:45
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.97%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.75%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 14:15
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%EV -6.36%E -2.61%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.10%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 14:20
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.36%E -2.61%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.36%E -2.61%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.97%E -3.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:24
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.74%EV -7.24%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -7.13%E -2.94%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -4.91%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:24
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -4.89%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.13%E -2.94%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -8.28%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:34
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.56%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.13%E -2.94%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:40
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.56%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.13%E -2.94%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 14:04
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -7.51%E -3.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.75%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 14:07
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 14:43
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:15
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 14:15
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 19:40
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 07:08
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:44
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:45
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.93%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -7.89%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -8.66%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -18.97%E -6.59%K -10.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-21 14:15
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -9.81%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 14:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -9.81%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 05:53
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.81%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.75%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 17:44
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.81%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.75%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.81%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 09:39
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.73%E -5.10%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 14:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-23 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 32.94%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%4.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.02%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%5.0%2026-04-24 00:35